What in heaven’s name is happening? Wait, could the PUMAs have been right all along? Is Obama truly unelectable? Could he really lose New York and New Jersey?
Well, according to the latest Quinnipiac Poll, Obama and McCain are virtually tied in NJ, directly as a result of the fact that Obama lost 7 points in that state in the last one month.
For your reading pleasure, a few choice excerpts from the poll:
The contest between Barack Obama and John McCain in New Jersey is too close to call, with a new Quinnipiac University poll showing the battle for the state’s fifteen electoral votes at 48%-45% among likely voters. Obama led McCain by ten percentage points, 51%-41% in an August Quinnipiac poll.
This is the fourth independent poll within the last week to show New Jersey as an emerging battleground state in the presidential campaign. A Monmouth University/New Jersey poll released this morning shows Obama leading by 8 points, and a Marist College poll released Friday night had identical numbers to Quinnipiac, 48%-45%. A Fairleigh Dickinson University poll from last week had Obama up by six points.
“The McCain-Palin ticket has narrowed the gap dramatically, but it will take more than this post convention bounce for the Republicans to win in true blue New Jersey. The upcoming debates probably will provide a clue to whether Sen. McCain can build on his current momentum, or whether the tide will turn back to the Democrats,” said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
and interestingly enough:
McCain’s surge has come primarily from white voters, the poll says. White voters back McCain 56%-36% — up from 50%-42% in August, while Black voters, by a 93%-7% margin, are voting for Obama — up from 94%-1%. McCain leads among men (53%-40%), while Obama is ahead 54%-38% among women. But white women back McCain 50%-42% (46%-44% in August). Among independents, the lead has shifted from Obama (45%-42%0 to McCain (47%-43%).
I guess for Obama to get 93% of the black vote is to be expected, when people like Joe Biden tell blacks to vote for Obama because he is black.
Oh well…
Posted by AD76